Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A
The crisis situation faced by public services in the post-convertibility era, gave way to the opportunity to apply some Decision Science tools to the renegotiation of the committed obligations with the main involved actors. At first a training course, was held, which was of vital importance, due to...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Online |
| Language: | Spanish English |
| Published: |
Universidad Nacional de Misiones - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas
2004
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/596 |
| _version_ | 1824325937055924224 |
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| author | Guidek, Roberto Keller, Diego Simon, Nicolas Carlino, Esteban De Luca, José M. Pona, Cintya Rondan, Mariela |
| author_facet | Guidek, Roberto Keller, Diego Simon, Nicolas Carlino, Esteban De Luca, José M. Pona, Cintya Rondan, Mariela |
| author_sort | Guidek, Roberto |
| collection | Revista Vision de Futuro |
| description | The crisis situation faced by public services in the post-convertibility era, gave way to the opportunity to apply some Decision Science tools to the renegotiation of the committed obligations with the main involved actors.
At first a training course, was held, which was of vital importance, due to the knowledge and clarity of achieved ideas, referred to the existing problems. It was of exceptional help to the top management, as to the crisis in which they were in.
After discussing facts, alternatives and actions to be carried out, in the enterprise, it was decided to do a mathematical model, which backed by tools such as Decision Trees, Montecarlo Simulation and Multivariate Statistics would render very important information, which would help the negotiations being carried out.
This paper tries to explain the most important steps accomplished, preserving the enterprise's confidentiality, the same the software owner's property rights. |
| format | Online |
| id | ojs-article-596 |
| institution | Facultad de Ciencias Economicas |
| language | Spanish English |
| publishDate | 2004 |
| publisher | Universidad Nacional de Misiones - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | ojs-article-5962021-11-17T18:37:24Z Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A Construcción de escenarios en modelos de gestión financiera. Aplicación de teoría de decisiones en situaciones de crisis: el caso de servicios de agua de Misiones S.A Guidek, Roberto Keller, Diego Simon, Nicolas Carlino, Esteban De Luca, José M. Pona, Cintya Rondan, Mariela Decision tree; Scenarios; Strategic planning; Regression; Simulation.; Time series; Multivariate statistics Árboles de decisión; Escenarios; Planificación estratégica; Regresión; Simulación; Series de tiempo; Estadística multivariada The crisis situation faced by public services in the post-convertibility era, gave way to the opportunity to apply some Decision Science tools to the renegotiation of the committed obligations with the main involved actors. At first a training course, was held, which was of vital importance, due to the knowledge and clarity of achieved ideas, referred to the existing problems. It was of exceptional help to the top management, as to the crisis in which they were in. After discussing facts, alternatives and actions to be carried out, in the enterprise, it was decided to do a mathematical model, which backed by tools such as Decision Trees, Montecarlo Simulation and Multivariate Statistics would render very important information, which would help the negotiations being carried out. This paper tries to explain the most important steps accomplished, preserving the enterprise's confidentiality, the same the software owner's property rights. La situación de crisis a la cual se enfrentaron las empresas de servicios públicos en la post-convertibilidad, creó la oportunidad de aplicar algunas herramientas de la Ciencia de la Decisión a la renegociación de las obligaciones comprometidas con los principales actores involucrados. Inicialmente se realizó un curso de capacitación, el cual fué de vital importancia, por los conocimientos brindados y por la claridad de ideas logradas, referidos a los problemas existentes. Todo ello significó una gran ayuda a la gerencia general, respecto a la crisis en que se encontraban inmersos. Posteriormente, luego de una amplio análisis y discusión sobre la situación de la empresa se decidió elaborar un modelo matemático, el cual apoyado en herramientas tales como árbol de decisiones, simulación de Montecarlo y Análisis Multivariado, aportaría información de mucha importancia, en ayuda de las negociaciones en curso. El presente trabajo intenta reflejar los pasos principales realizados, preservando la confidencialidad de la información empresaria, así como los derechos intelectuales del software desarrollado para la empresa. Universidad Nacional de Misiones - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas 2004-12-14 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf application/pdf https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/596 Scientific Journal Visión de Futuro; Vol. 3 No. 1 (2005): Enero / Junio Visión de Futuro; Vol. 3 No. 1 (2005): Enero / Junio Revista Científica Visión de Futuro; Vol. 3 Núm. 1 (2005): Enero / Junio 1668-8708 1669-7634 spa eng https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/596/484 https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/596/485 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/ar/ |
| spellingShingle | Decision tree; Scenarios; Strategic planning; Regression; Simulation.; Time series; Multivariate statistics Árboles de decisión; Escenarios; Planificación estratégica; Regresión; Simulación; Series de tiempo; Estadística multivariada Guidek, Roberto Keller, Diego Simon, Nicolas Carlino, Esteban De Luca, José M. Pona, Cintya Rondan, Mariela Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A |
| title | Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A |
| title_alt | Construcción de escenarios en modelos de gestión financiera. Aplicación de teoría de decisiones en situaciones de crisis: el caso de servicios de agua de Misiones S.A |
| title_full | Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A |
| title_fullStr | Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A |
| title_full_unstemmed | Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A |
| title_short | Construction of scenarios in models of financial administration. Application of decisions theory in crisis situations: the case of Misiones water services S.A |
| title_sort | construction of scenarios in models of financial administration application of decisions theory in crisis situations the case of misiones water services s a |
| topic | Decision tree; Scenarios; Strategic planning; Regression; Simulation.; Time series; Multivariate statistics Árboles de decisión; Escenarios; Planificación estratégica; Regresión; Simulación; Series de tiempo; Estadística multivariada |
| topic_facet | Decision tree; Scenarios; Strategic planning; Regression; Simulation.; Time series; Multivariate statistics Árboles de decisión; Escenarios; Planificación estratégica; Regresión; Simulación; Series de tiempo; Estadística multivariada |
| url | https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/596 |
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